Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Belgrano 2		Barracas Central 2

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.8	7.25
	1.36	4.6	6.8
	1.38	4.7	7.85
	1.37	4.52	7.42	Watch
	1.41	4.84	6.62
	1.36	4.6	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.53)	4.68 ↑ (3.81)	7.12 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano 2
67.4%

Draw
19.7%

Barracas Central 2
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

23%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belgrano 2's performance.

Barracas Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belgrano 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central 2 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Belgrano 2 - Barracas Central 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Zelarayan G. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

Belgrano 2 is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barracas Central 2 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Belgrano 2 is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Belgrano 2 to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Belgrano 2 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
10.04.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	0:1 ✺
01.04.25	Belgrano 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:0 ✺
26.03.25	Central Córdoba 2 - Belgrano 2	1:1 ✺
18.03.25	Belgrano 2 - Aldosivi 2	7:0 ✺
12.03.25	Banfield 2 - Belgrano 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWT
- Barracas Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
10.04.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:2 ✺
02.04.25	Barracas Central 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Barracas Central 2	0:0 ✺
20.03.25	Barracas Central 2 - Central Córdoba 2	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Aldosivi 2 - Barracas Central 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
29.08.24	Barracas Central 2 - Belgrano 2	1:3
27.03.24	Belgrano 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:1
04.07.23	Barracas Central 2 - Belgrano 2	1:3

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