Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - Second stage - Round 10

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Belgrano 2		Vélez Sársfield 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.6	3.15	1.99
	3.9	3.1	1.99
	3.77	3.15	1.98
	3.7	3.2	1.91
	3.72	3.18	1.94
	3.6	3.15	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.9)	3.15 ↑ (3.02)	1.96 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano 2
24.7%

Draw
28.9%

Vélez Sársfield 2
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

30.3%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

29.3%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belgrano 2's form might have worsened.

Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Belgrano 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Bosch B. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Machena I. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Ramirez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 2, Tapia I. ⚽,
70', Zelarayan G. 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
26.09.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Belgrano 2	2:1 ✺
19.09.24	Belgrano 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Belgrano 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:1 ✺
29.08.24	Barracas Central 2 - Belgrano 2	1:3 ✺
21.08.24	Banfield 2 - Belgrano 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
25.09.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Banfield 2	2:1 ✺
17.09.24	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1 ✺
06.09.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Tigre 2	5:0 ✺
28.08.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Instituto 2	2:0 ✺
22.08.24	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
23.04.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Belgrano 2	4:0
15.11.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Belgrano 2	0:3
02.06.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Belgrano 2	1:0

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