The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bellinzona 44.8%
Draw 24.7%
Rapperswil-Jona 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
26.3%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
25.9%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bellinzona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bellinzona's performance.
Rapperswil-Jona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bellinzona that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Bellinzona - Rapperswil Jona Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Bellinzona will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Trochen E. (G) 92. Moulin P. 6. Trapero 4. Lopez B. 23. Goncalves M. (C) 25. Ayala D. 24. Jashari E. 14. Bomo J. 34. Fetahu E. 7. Rossier E. 11. Vogt W.
1. Emch C. (G) 6. Ndema L. 4. Dabanli B. 19. Raicevic S. 3. Morgado B. (C) 31. Emini L. 26. Charveys A. 11. Sow C. 7. Ryter Y. 22. Luthi J. 9. Kamberi F.
Substitutes
45. Jaiteh M. 80. Kury J. 99. Lopez A. 10. Lymann F. 20. Mayorga J. 16. Muci A. (G) 21. Shabani M. 79. Shala L. 3. Sorensen A.
28. Ambassa J. 77. De Carvalho F. 49. Muzzi D. 33. Ngana V. 18. Omerovic A. (G) 23. Pousa R. 8. Saliji R. 70. Schmidt J.
Coaches
Sannino G.
Sasivari S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Sow C. ⚽, Luthi J. (A),
3', 1 - 1, Rossier E. ⚽, Goncalves M. (A),
4', Ryter Y. 🟨,
33', 1 - 2, Ryter Y. ⚽,
42', 1 - 3, Kamberi F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Moulin P. ↓, Mayorga J. ↑,
53', Fetahu E. ↓, Lymann F. ↑,
53', Ayala D. ↓, Kury J. ↑,
59', 2 - 3, Vogt W. ⚽, Rossier E. (A),
65', Luthi J. ↓, De Carvalho F. ↑,
69', Morgado B. 🟨,
71', Kamberi F. ↓, Muzzi D. ↑,
71', Sow C. ↓, Pousa R. ↑,
71', Ryter Y. ↓, Saliji R. ↑,
75', Rossier E. ↓, Jaiteh M. ↑,
75', Jashari E. ↓, Shabani M. ↑,
79', Vogt W. 🟨,
88', Ndema L. ↓, Ambassa J. ↑,
90', Dabanli B. 🟨,
90+1', Mayorga J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', 2 - 4, De Carvalho F. ⚽, Muzzi D. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 0.
Bellinzona has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rapperswil has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Bellinzona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Bellinzona: Dermaku D.
(Knee Injury)
Sadiku A.
(Injury)
Shala L.
(Injury)
Vogt W.
(Injury)
There will not play in Rapperswil: Napfer T.
(Injury)
Saliji R.
(Illness)
There are questionable in Bellinzona: Mihajlovic D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Rapperswil: Dabanli B.
(Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
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Trochen E. (G) 
Trapero 
Ayala D. 
Jashari E. 
Dabanli B. 
Charveys A. 
Kamberi F. 
Kury J. 
Ambassa J. 
Ngana V. 
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