Match Info

Challenge League - Round 34

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Olympique de la Pontaise (Lausanne)

Referee: Berchier L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3


	Lausanne Ouchy		Bellinzona

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.15	4.35
	1.66	4.32	4.56
	1.63	4.46	4.38	Watch
	1.6	3.8	4.5
	1.66	4.2	4.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.53)	4.19 ↓ (4.66)	4.42 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lausanne Ouchy
56.8%

Draw
22.2%

Bellinzona
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

20.1%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

18.7%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lausanne Ouchy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Bellinzona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne Ouchy than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Lausanne Ouchy - Bellinzona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lausanne Ouchy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lausanne Ouchy will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Besson L. (G) 34. Sutter N. (C) 22. Barbet T. 43. de Oliveira L. 28. Kaloga I. 30. Sutter P. 3. Conus B. 26. Socka Bongue L. 77. Tritten V. 10. Garcia N. 11. Sartoretti M.	22. Trochen E. (G) 23. Goncalves M. (C) 6. Trapero 24. Jashari E. 4. Lopez B. 34. Fetahu E. 14. Bomo J. 88. Mosquera D. 8. Rey A. 10. Lymann F. 11. Vogt W.
Substitutes
13. Bah K. 70. Djoumgoue M. 8. Fargues H. 44. Lukembila H. 88. Lusuena N. 71. Malula B. 21. Mendy F. 12. Noverraz N. (G)	25. Ayala D. 80. Kury J. 99. Lopez A. 20. Mayorga J. 91. Mihajlovic D. 92. Moulin P. 16. Muci A. (G) 7. Rossier E. 79. Shala L.
Coaches
Stevanovic D.	Sannino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Garcia N. ⚽, Sutter P. (A),
11', Mosquera D. 🟨,
11', 2 - 0, Sutter N. ⚽, Tritten V. (A),
30', Bomo J. 🟨,
37', Mosquera D. 🟨,
41', Conus B. 🟨,
45+1', Rey A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Socka Bongue L. 🟨,
53', Sutter N. 🟨,
54', 3 - 0, Tritten V. ⚽, Garcia N. (A),
58', Goncalves M. ↓, Mihajlovic D. ↑,
58', Rey A. ↓, Mayorga J. ↑,
58', Lymann F. ↓, Shala L. ↑,
61', Tritten V. ↓, Fargues H. ↑,
61', Socka Bongue L. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
64', Jashari E. ↓, Ayala D. ↑,
69', Vogt W. ↓, Rossier E. ↑,
69', Barbet T. ↓, Djoumgoue M. ↑,
70', Sutter P. ↓, Lusuena N. ↑,
75', 4 - 0, Sartoretti M. ⚽,
76', Garcia N. ↓, Lukembila H. ↑,
79', Fetahu E. 🟨,
86', 5 - 0, Mendy F. ⚽, Conus B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lausanne Ouchy won 2.

In recent matches, Lausanne Ouchy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bellinzona is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lausanne Ouchy is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Lausanne Ouchy: Da Silva D. (Injury) Gelato L. (Injury) Kadima R. (Injury) Nkama J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bellinzona: Dermaku D. (Knee Injury) Mihajlovic D. (Injury) Sadiku A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bellinzona: Rey A. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lausanne Ouchy won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lausanne Ouchy won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lausanne Ouchy	9	6	3	0	17:3	14	21

Last Results with these Odds

Bellinzona - the odds 4.97 are the expected chance of winning is 18.82%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lausanne Ouchy
Swiss Challenge League
02.05.26	Vaduz - Lausanne Ouchy	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Yverdon	0:3 ✺
22.04.26	Aarau - Lausanne Ouchy	3:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
18.04.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Grasshoppers	2:0 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
10.04.26	Étoile Carouge - Lausanne Ouchy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLWT
- AC Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League
03.05.26	Bellinzona - Rapperswil-Jona	2:4 ✺
26.04.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Bellinzona	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Bellinzona - Stade Nyonnais	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Bellinzona - Aarau	0:0 ✺
07.04.26	Vaduz - Bellinzona	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
20.03.26	Bellinzona - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1
25.10.25	Bellinzona - Lausanne Ouchy	0:3
09.08.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Bellinzona	2:2
09.05.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Bellinzona	1:1
15.02.25	Bellinzona - Lausanne Ouchy	0:1
19.10.24	Lausanne Ouchy - Bellinzona	1:1
24.09.24	Bellinzona - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1

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