The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rapperswil-Jona 14.4%
Draw 17.9%
Aarau 67.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.7%
23.5%
55.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.8%
22.5%
58.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rapperswil-Jona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rapperswil-Jona's form might have worsened.
Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarau's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rapperswil-Jona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aarau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Aarau will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Omerovic A. (G) 6. Ndema L. 4. Dabanli B. 5. Ajeti Ad. (C) 19. Raicevic S. 31. Emini L. 33. Ngana V. 71. Giandomenico L. 26. Charveys A. 9. Kamberi F. 22. Luthi J.
1. Hubel M. (G) 15. Muller S. 5. Acquah D. 2. Thaler M. (C) 19. Schwegler S. 13. Zoukit N. 25. Derbaci D. 27. Obexer L. 10. Fazliu V. 11. Vladi S. 9. Filet E.
Substitutes
77. De Carvalho F. 1. Emch C. (G) 66. Marchand Y. 3. Morgado B. 13. Padula Lenna G. 23. Pousa R. 10. Ribeiro A. 7. Ryter Y. 11. Sow C.
18. Afriyie D. 32. Bobadilla R. 14. Chacon T. 23. Frokaj L. 30. Hirzel A. (G) 8. Jackle O. 17. Koide H. 31. Petit V. 42. Senyurt B.
Coaches
Sasivari S.
Iacopetta B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Vladi S. ⚽, Filet E. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Charveys A. ⚽, Kamberi F. (A),
25', 2 - 1, Luthi J. ⚽, Emini L. (A),
33', 2 - 2, Vladi S. ⚽, Zoukit N. (A),
36', 3 - 2, Luthi J. ⚽, Charveys A. (A),
43', Emini L. 🟨,
45+2', 3 - 3, Fazliu V. ⚽, Vladi S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Thaler M. ↓, Petit V. ↑,
52', 3 - 4, Filet E. ⚽, Petit V. (A),
58', Raicevic S. ↓, Padula Lenna G. ↑,
60', Ngana V. 🟨,
70', Derbaci D. ↓, Frokaj L. ↑,
71', Vladi S. ↓, Afriyie D. ↑,
73', 3 - 5, Filet E. ⚽, Afriyie D. (A),
73', Luthi J. ↓, De Carvalho F. ↑,
73', Charveys A. ↓, Ryter Y. ↑,
73', Giandomenico L. ↓, Sow C. ↑,
80', Dabanli B. 🟨,
81', Frokaj L. 🟨,
83', Fazliu V. ↓, Jackle O. ↑,
83', Filet E. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
83', Kamberi F. ↓, Ribeiro A. ↑,
89', 4 - 5, Sow C. ⚽, Emini L. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rapperswil won 0.
Rapperswil has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Aarau is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Aarau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Aarau is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Rapperswil: Ajeti Ad.
(Yellow Cards)
Ambassa J.
(Inactive)
Napfer T.
(Injury)
Ryter Y.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Aarau: Dickenmann M.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Rapperswil: Marchand Y.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rapperswil won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Rapperswil won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
Switzerland
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Omerovic A. (G) 
Dabanli B. 
Emini L. 
Ngana V. 
Charveys A. 
Kamberi F. 
Acquah D. 
Padula Lenna G. 
Ribeiro A. 
Sow C. 
Bobadilla R. 
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