Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade 5 Juillet 1962 (Algiers)

Referee: Waweru P. (Ken)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Belouizdad		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.92	3.12	4.23
	1.85	3	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.94	3.2	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.28)	3.07 ↑ (3.04)	4.16 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belouizdad
48.5%

Draw
29.6%

Mamelodi Sundowns
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.4%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

29.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belouizdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belouizdad's performance.

Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mamelodi Sundowns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belouizdad than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belouizdad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mamelodi Sundowns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Belouizdad - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Belouizdad is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Belouizdad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Belouizdad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CR Belouizdad
Algerian Ligue 1
17.04.23	Oran - Belouizdad	3:1 ✺
13.04.23	Belouizdad - Paradou	1:1 ✺
09.04.23	Biskra - Belouizdad	1:1 ✺
05.04.23	Belouizdad - Saoura	2:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
01.04.23	Espérance ST - Belouizdad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTWT
- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Nedbank Cup
15.04.23	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
12.04.23	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
09.04.23	Moroka Swallows - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
04.04.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
01.04.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Coton Sport de Garoua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
09.04.21	Mamelodi Sundowns - Belouizdad	0:2
28.02.21	Belouizdad - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:5

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