The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lamontville Golden Arrows 13.3%
Draw 23.9%
Mamelodi Sundowns 62.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.3%
24.6%
59.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.9%
24%
60.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lamontville Golden Arrows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamontville Golden Arrows than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Lamontville Golden Arrows - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Mbanjwa T. (G) 3. Shezi K. 26. Agnikoi E. 35. Mantshiyane T. 20. Maluleke O. 25. Maxwele A. 24. Dlamini N. 41. Zwane N. 49. Gasa N. 18. Dion J. (C) 28. Van Neel R.
30. Williams R. (C) 27. Morena T. 20. Kekana G. 3. Ndamane K. 23. Basadien F. 4. Mokoena T. 38. Ndlovu S. 33. Mailula C. 11. Allende M. 17. Matthews T. 12. Leon B.
Substitutes
17. Khumalo T. 36. Kumalo P. 47. Madonsela S. 51. Mafuleka M. 19. Msibi D. (G) 43. Radzhadzhi T. 11. Sibiya N. 29. Sithole S. 14. Van Rooi A.
31. Goss R. (G) 42. Khoza M. 28. Mdunyelwa Z. 21. Mkhulise S. 6. Modiba A. 46. Mokoena B. 13. Rayners I. 29. van Wyk A. 18. Zwane T.
Coaches
Dladla S. P.
Cardoso M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Ndlovu S. ⚽, Matthews T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kekana G. ↓, Khoza M. ↑,
63', Gasa N. ↓, Kumalo P. ↑,
63', Van Neel R. ↓, Sithole S. ↑,
67', Basadien F. ↓, Modiba A. ↑,
67', Mailula C. ↓, Mkhulise S. ↑,
67', Matthews T. ↓, van Wyk A. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Dion J. ⚽, Kumalo P. (A),
77', Leon B. ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Mokoena T. ⚽,
88', Dion J. ↓, Khumalo T. ↑,
90', Rayners I. 🟨,
90+1', Dlamini N. ↓, Van Rooi A. ↑,
90+2', Van Rooi A. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Golden Arrows won 2.
Golden Arrows has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mamelodi Sundowns is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Mamelodi Sundowns has had a series of home games.
In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Golden Arrows won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:39. (average 0.7:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Golden Arrows won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
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Mbanjwa T. (G) 
Agnikoi E. 
Dion J. (C) 
Allende M. 
Leon B. 
Cardoso M. 
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