Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday


	Belper Town		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.75
	3.75	3.5	1.7
	3.8	3.6	1.76
	3.82	3.75	1.84
	3.4	3.7	1.85
	3.92	3.62	1.78
	3.75	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.56)	3.61 ↑ (3.53)	1.78 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belper Town
24.1%

Draw
25.1%

Guiseley
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

25.5%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

27.5%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belper Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belper Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Belper Town - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Guiseley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guiseley is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belper Town
English NPL Premier Division
11.10.22	Atherton Collieries - Belper Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Belper Town - St Ives Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
01.10.22	Lancaster City - Belper Town	1:1 ✺
27.09.22	Belper Town - Stalybridge Celtic	2:0 ✺
24.09.22	Bamber Bridge - Belper Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TWTWL
- Guiseley
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Guiseley - Whitby Town	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
01.10.22	Guiseley - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
27.09.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Hyde United - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
20.09.22	Guiseley - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTTLW

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