Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.4	3.8
	1.98	3.2	3.45
	2.02	3.49	3.21
	2.04	3.44	3.47	Watch
	2	3.2	3.2
	1.96	3.35	3.41
	1.75	3.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.07)	3.33 ↓ (3.37)	3.48 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
46.8%

Draw
27.2%

Guiseley
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

27.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+2%)

Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Tuntulwana S. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Goodman G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 1, Tuntulwana S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Gainsborough is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gainsborough won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Guiseley: 7.36% Gainsborough: 3.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guiseley	11	7	1	3	24:11	13	22
11	Gainsborough	10	5	1	4	20:14	6	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
03.04.26	Stockton Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Rylands	0:0 ✺
24.03.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Bamber Bridge	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Hyde United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTW
- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
04.04.26	Guiseley - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Guiseley	1:3 ✺
24.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Guiseley - Whitby Town	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Hednesford Town - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Guiseley - Gainsborough Trinity	3:2
21.04.25	Guiseley - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2
26.12.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	0:2
06.01.24	Guiseley - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	1:3
English NPL Premier Division
22.08.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	4:0
04.03.23	Guiseley - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1

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