Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 36

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Guiseley		Whitby Town

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.3	3.3
	1.98	3.2	3.4
	2.01	3.35	3.45
	2	3.51	3.51	Watch
	2	3	3.3
	1.98	3.28	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.93)	3.27 ↓ (3.53)	3.4 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
45.7%

Draw
27.7%

Whitby Town
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26.3%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.8%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Whitby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Guiseley - Whitby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Owen E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Whitby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guiseley is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Guiseley won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Guiseley: 7.4% Whitby: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guiseley	11	7	1	3	24:11	13	22
15	Whitby	11	4	0	7	17:32	-15	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
14.03.26	Hednesford Town - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Guiseley - Workington	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Guiseley - Warrington Town	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Ilkeston - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Guiseley - Lancaster City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWLT
- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
17.03.26	Whitby Town - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Whitby Town - Lancaster City	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Whitby Town	2:2 ✺
03.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Whitby Town	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Whitby Town - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
08.11.25	Whitby Town - Guiseley	1:1
07.12.24	Guiseley - Whitby Town	3:1
10.09.24	Whitby Town - Guiseley	1:2
19.03.24	Whitby Town - Guiseley	1:2
15.08.23	Guiseley - Whitby Town	1:3
10.01.23	Whitby Town - Guiseley	0:2
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Guiseley - Whitby Town	3:1

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