Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 32

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday


	Belper Town		Marine

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.68
	5.27	3.95	1.59
	4.75	3.75	1.57
	4.2	3.74	1.72
	4	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↓ (4.82)	3.76 ↑ (3.74)	1.66 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belper Town
20.6%

Draw
24.3%

Marine
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.2%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

23.4%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belper Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belper Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marine than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Belper Town - Marine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Belper is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marine is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Marine have a series of home games.

In this match Marine is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Belper won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Belper won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belper Town
English NPL Premier Division
07.02.23	Radcliffe - Belper Town	4:2 ✺
04.02.23	Liversedge - Belper Town	1:3 ✺
31.01.23	Belper Town - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Belper Town - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
14.01.23	Belper Town - Nantwich Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTLL
- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
07.02.23	Marine - Stalybridge Celtic	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Radcliffe - Marine	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Marine - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
24.01.23	Marine - Stafford Rangers	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Marine - Bamber Bridge	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
22.10.22	Marine - Belper Town	2:1
18.04.15	Marine - Belper Town	2:2
29.11.14	Belper Town - Marine	2:2

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