Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Belper Town		Bamber Bridge

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.78
	3.5	3.55	1.84
	3.26	3.9	1.92
	3.6	3.5	1.91
	3.56	3.74	1.86
	4	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (3.71)	3.66 ↑ (3.43)	1.84 (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belper Town
25.4%

Draw
24.9%

Bamber Bridge
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

26.4%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

25.7%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belper Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Bamber Bridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belper Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (+1%)

Belper Town - Bamber Bridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Belper is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bamber in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bamber could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bamber will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belper won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belper Town
English NPL Premier Division
14.01.23	Belper Town - Nantwich Town	1:3 ✺
07.01.23	Warrington Town - Belper Town	3:1 ✺
02.01.23	Belper Town - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Matlock Town - Belper Town	4:0 ✺
03.12.22	United of Manchester - Belper Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLL
- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
24.01.23	Bamber Bridge - Warrington Rylands	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Marine - Bamber Bridge	2:3 ✺
02.01.23	Bamber Bridge - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Lancaster City - Bamber Bridge	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Marske United - Bamber Bridge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
24.09.22	Bamber Bridge - Belper Town	5:1

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