Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 8

Date: 5 December 2023, Tuesday


	Marine		Bamber Bridge

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3
	2.04	3.78	3.1
	2.04	3.78	3.1
	1.91	3.6	3.1
	2.02	3.52	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.9)	3.64 ↑ (3.5)	3.08 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marine
45.5%

Draw
25%

Bamber Bridge
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

25.9%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

24.5%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Bamber Bridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marine than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Marine - Bamber Bridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 15).

Marine in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bamber is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bamber could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Marine have a series of guest games.

In this match Marine is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Marine to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Marine won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Marine won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
02.12.23	Marine - Ilkeston	0:0 ✺
28.11.23	Marine - Workington	4:4 ✺
25.11.23	Worksop Town - Marine	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Marine - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Marine - Harrogate Town	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTWTL
- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
28.11.23	Bamber Bridge - Worksop Town	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Radcliffe - Bamber Bridge	3:2 ✺
21.11.23	Bamber Bridge - United of Manchester	3:3 ✺
18.11.23	Whitby Town - Bamber Bridge	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Bamber Bridge - Basford United	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
14.01.23	Marine - Bamber Bridge	2:3
06.09.22	Bamber Bridge - Marine	1:1
22.04.19	Marine - Bamber Bridge	0:2
26.12.18	Bamber Bridge - Marine	1:2

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