The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bembibre 35.9%
Draw 32.7%
Arandina 31.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.1%
29.6%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bembibre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Bembibre - Arandina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
24', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 Playoffs and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 2.
Bembibre has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Arandina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Bembibre has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:13 (averaging 0.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bembibre against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 6:8 goals (averaging 0.9:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Bembibre
8
4
2
2
10:8
2
14
10
Arandina
8
2
4
2
11:12
-1
10
Last Results with these Odds
Arandina - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.23%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.