Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Bembibre		Arandina

	1	X	2
	2.62	3	2.42
	2.77	3.02	2.46
	2.77	3.02	2.54	Watch
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.71	3.23	2.56
	2.83	3	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.45)	3.05 ↑ (3.05)	2.48 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bembibre
33.4%

Draw
29.9%

Arandina
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29.9%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

29.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bembibre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Bembibre - Arandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bembibre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bembibre
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.12.25	Bembibre - Mirandés B	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Bembibre	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Bembibre - La Virgen del Camino	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Atlético Mansillés - Bembibre	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Bembibre - Atlético Tordesillas	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL
- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
13.12.25	Arandina - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	La Virgen del Camino - Arandina	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Arandina - Atlético Mansillés	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Arandina	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Palencia CA - Arandina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
02.02.25	Bembibre - Arandina	1:0
05.03.23	Bembibre - Arandina	1:2
30.10.22	Arandina - Bembibre	2:0
06.03.22	Bembibre - Arandina	1:0
24.10.21	Arandina - Bembibre	0:0
25.04.21	Arandina - Bembibre	1:0
03.04.21	Bembibre - Arandina	0:1

Bembibre - Arandina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide