The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Marta Tormes 56.4%
Draw 25.7%
Arandina 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.6%
26.4%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.8%
25.4%
17.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Marta Tormes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Arandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Santa Marta Tormes - Arandina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Galvan M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Santa Marta Tormes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Santa Marta Tormes is considered a favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Marta Tormes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
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