Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Bembibre		Atlético Tordesillas

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.05	1.88
	4.26	3.19	1.86
	21.87	6.74	1.13	Watch
	4.03	3.21	1.97
	3.25	3	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.49 ↑ (3.38)	3.84 ↑ (3)	1.81 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bembibre
14.1%

Draw
27.5%

Atlético Tordesillas
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

30.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

29.5%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bembibre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bembibre's form might have worsened.

Atlético Tordesillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Tordesillas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bembibre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tordesillas than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Tordesillas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bembibre - Atlético Tordesillas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Chatun ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
71', 0 - 2, Diez D. ⚽,
79', 0 - 3, Diez D. ⚽,
86', 0 - 4, Conejo A. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 0.

Bembibre has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tordesillas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tordesillas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tordesillas has had a series of home games.

Tordesillas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bembibre won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bembibre
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
01.11.25	Numancia B - Bembibre	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Bembibre - Palencia CA	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Villaralbo - Bembibre	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Bembibre - Colegios Diocesanos	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Unionistas B - Bembibre	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLL
- Atlético Tordesillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
02.11.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
25.10.25	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Mansillés	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Mirandés B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
15.02.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Bembibre	1:0
06.10.24	Bembibre - Atlético Tordesillas	1:3
12.11.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Bembibre	3:3
28.01.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Bembibre	1:0
25.09.22	Bembibre - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1
14.04.22	Atlético Tordesillas - Bembibre	2:0
05.12.21	Bembibre - Atlético Tordesillas	2:2

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