Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 33Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday
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Bembibre |
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Becerril |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.72 |
3.25 |
2.28 |
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2.51 |
3.4 |
2.39 |
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2.69 |
3.61 |
2.28 |
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2.63 |
3.1 |
2.38 |
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2.94 |
3.26 |
2.37 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.7 ↑ (2.32) |
3.32 ↑ (3.1) |
2.34 ↓ (2.95) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bembibre 33.7% | Draw 27.4% | Becerril 38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bembibre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bembibre's form might have worsened.Becerril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Becerril's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bembibre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Becerril, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Bembibre - Becerril Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 18', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 19', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 29', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 79', 🟥,
- 82', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 2.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Becerril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Bembibre won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Bembibre | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 10 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 | | | 04.01.26 | Becerril - Bembibre | 2:1 | | 11.05.25 | Becerril - Bembibre | 1:0 | | 12.01.25 | Bembibre - Becerril | 2:1 | | 21.01.24 | Bembibre - Becerril | 0:1 | | 05.02.23 | Bembibre - Becerril | 7:3 | | 02.10.22 | Becerril - Bembibre | 0:1 | | 08.12.20 | Becerril - Bembibre | 0:0 |
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