Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 13

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Bembibre		Ponferradina B

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.8	3.19	3.67
	1.81	3.19	3.67
	1.78	3.38	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.44)	3.24 ↓ (4.15)	3.84 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bembibre
49.4%

Draw
27.4%

Ponferradina B
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

21.9%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

20.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bembibre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bembibre's form might have worsened.

Ponferradina B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ponferradina B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bembibre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina B than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Bembibre is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponferradina B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Bembibre is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bembibre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Bembibre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bembibre
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
25.11.23	Colegios Diocesanos - Bembibre	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Bembibre - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Bembibre	3:3 ✺
05.11.23	Bembibre - Atlético Palencia	3:1 ✺
29.10.23	Burgos Promesas - Bembibre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 TTTWW
- Ponferradina B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
25.11.23	Ponferradina B - Laguna de Tenerife	2:3 ✺
19.11.23	Becerril - Ponferradina B	3:3 ✺
11.11.23	Ponferradina B - Mirandés B	0:3 ✺
04.11.23	La Virgen del Camino - Ponferradina B	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Ponferradina B - Santa Marta Tormes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.03.23	Ponferradina B - Bembibre	4:0
06.11.22	Bembibre - Ponferradina B	2:0

Bembibre - Ponferradina B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide