Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 8

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Ponferradina B		Santa Marta Tormes

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.37
	2.54	2.79	2.78
	2.54	2.8	2.78
	2.53	3.05	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.07)	2.9 ↓ (3)	2.64 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina B
34.8%

Draw
31.1%

Santa Marta Tormes
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

30.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

30.2%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponferradina B's performance.

Santa Marta Tormes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Marta Tormes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina B than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponferradina B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Marta Tormes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Ponferradina B is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santa Marta Tormes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Santa Marta Tormes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ponferradina B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponferradina B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
22.10.23	Palencia CA - Ponferradina B	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Colegios Diocesanos - Ponferradina B	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Ponferradina B - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Ponferradina B	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Ponferradina B - Atlético Palencia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TTTLL
- UD Santa Marta Tormes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.10.23	Atlético Astorga - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Tordesillas	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	Atlético Palencia - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Leonesa B - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Santa Marta Tormes - Almazán	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.02.23	Santa Marta Tormes - Ponferradina B	0:4
16.10.22	Ponferradina B - Santa Marta Tormes	2:0

Ponferradina B - Santa Marta Tormes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide