Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 11

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Becerril		Ponferradina B

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.5
	1.9	3.3	3.75
	1.83	3.19	3.94
	1.83	3.19	3.94
	1.87	3.26	3.84
	1.9	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.59)	3.25 ↓ (3.64)	3.79 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Becerril
48.3%

Draw
27.8%

Ponferradina B
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.9%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

24%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Becerril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Becerril's form might have worsened.

Ponferradina B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ponferradina B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Becerril, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina B than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Becerril is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponferradina B is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ponferradina B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Becerril is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Becerril won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Becerril won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Becerril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.11.23	Colegios Diocesanos - Becerril	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Becerril - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Becerril	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Becerril - Atlético Palencia	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Burgos Promesas - Becerril	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.3 WTWWL
- Ponferradina B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.11.23	Ponferradina B - Mirandés B	0:3 ✺
04.11.23	La Virgen del Camino - Ponferradina B	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Ponferradina B - Santa Marta Tormes	2:2 ✺
22.10.23	Palencia CA - Ponferradina B	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Colegios Diocesanos - Ponferradina B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
25.03.23	Ponferradina B - Becerril	0:1
27.11.22	Becerril - Ponferradina B	1:0

Becerril - Ponferradina B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide