Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - ROUND 26

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium (Benin City)


	Bendel Insurance		Doma United

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.33	7.91
	1.48	3.33	7.91
	1.46	3.34	8.9
	1.46	3.35	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.55)	3.34 ↑ (3.18)	8.38 ↑ (6.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bendel Insurance
61.9%

Draw
27.2%

Doma United
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

28.4%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

18.9%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bendel Insurance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Doma United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bendel Insurance than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bendel Insurance that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doma United than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Doma United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Baba J. (G) 31. Abdulahi H. 5. Akobundu E. 14. Anyanwu S. (C) 10. Ayuba Z. 28. Enaruna M. 8. Nwachukwu D. 18. Ogbonda E. I. 19. Okereke C. 7. Sarki I. 2. Sodje S.	1. Abdullahi Z. (G) 12. Abiam N. 6. Abubakar A. 40. Adamu U. 13. Boyi Z. 15. Enefiok S. 14. Jesam E. 4. Manga J. 26. Okoro J. 7. Tijani K. 16. Yakubu B.
Substitutes
17. Eghoghon S. 15. Enabulele E. 13. Moughara D. 1. Obiazo D. (G) 24. Ogunye A. 34. Okeke V. 9. Oritseweyinmi M. 22. Osaghae J. 16. Wisdom S.	28. Agwu J. 25. Meite Junior S. 2. Nasiru S. 29. Nassy I. 33. Oche E. (G) 32. Ugonna U. 10. Usman M.
Coaches
Ikhenoba G.	Onigbinde A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', Abiam N. (Own goal),
36', Adamu U. 🟨,
42', Abubakar A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Adamu U. ↓, Nassy I. ↑,
46', Okoro J. ↓, Meite Junior S. ↑,
46', Jesam E. ↓, Usman M. ↑,
61', Usman M. 🟨,
73', Manga J. ↓, Agwu J. ↑,
90+2', ⚽,
90+4', ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 12).

Bendel is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Doma United has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bendel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bendel is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bendel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bendel Insurance FC
Nigerian Premier League
13.03.24	Akwa United - Bendel Insurance	3:1 ✺
08.03.24	Bendel Insurance - Gombe United	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Plateau United - Bendel Insurance	2:0 ✺
29.02.24	Shooting Stars - Bendel Insurance	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Bendel Insurance - Enyimba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLT
- Doma United
Nigerian Premier League
13.03.24	Doma United - Shooting Stars	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Enyimba - Doma United	1:0 ✺
04.03.24	Doma United - Sporting Lagos	0:0 ✺
28.02.24	Bayelsa United - Doma United	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Doma United - Enugu Rangers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
08.11.23	Doma United - Bendel Insurance	0:0

Bendel Insurance - Doma United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide