Match Info

NPFL - Round 22

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Lekan Salami Stadium (Ibadan)


	Shooting Stars		Bendel Insurance

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.15	4.95
	1.69	3.13	5.46
	1.74	3.01	5.53	Watch
	1.7	2.9	5
	1.72	3.3	5.14
	1.62	3	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	3.08 ↑ (2.98)	5.26 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shooting Stars
53.4%

Draw
29.4%

Bendel Insurance
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

30.4%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

32.6%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shooting Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Bendel Insurance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shooting Stars than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bendel Insurance than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Shooting Stars - Bendel Insurance Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Bendel (2.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bendel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lawal M. (G) 23. Adelowo G. (C) 26. Aghahowa O. 20. Al Ameen A. 28. Apaingolo J. 30. Awosanmi P. 10. Ayobami A. 14. Emmanuel L. 27. Ibrahim S. 31. Tijjani K. 17. Utin I.	32. Ofori E. (G) 5. Akpan E. 14. Chigozie D. 25. Dung E. 15. Enabulele E. (C) 26. Itoro P. 13. Okoro E. 3. Onyia H. 6. Oweilayefa A. 7. Wisdom U. 28. Yazid A.
Substitutes
12. Adegoke Q. 11. Akpan J. 29. Amusat J. 24. Azeez T. 8. Chukwudi L. 22. Falke I. 33. Godgift E. (G) 4. Ojietefian D. 15. Onyemaechi A.	8. Akuneto C. 35. Amaefule C. 18. Anthony N. 19. Chikatara C. 9. Chukwude S. 1. Cletus A. (G) 20. Dewan P. 17. Ikechukwu V. 11. Nwosu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 🟨,
72', 1 - 0, Adegoke Q. ⚽,
78', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shooting Stars won 2.

Recent performances by Shooting Stars have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bendel is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shooting Stars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shooting Stars is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shooting Stars won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shooting Stars won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Bendel	7	4	0	3	13:11	2	12
13	Shooting	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shooting Stars
Nigerian Premier League
14.01.26	Shooting Stars - Enyimba	3:0 ✺
28.12.25	Enyimba - Shooting Stars	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Shooting Stars - Niger Tornadoes	2:1 ✺
08.12.25	Nasarawa United - Shooting Stars	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Shooting Stars - Remo Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW
- Bendel Insurance FC
Nigerian Premier League
27.12.25	Bendel Insurance - Kwara United	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Remo Stars - Bendel Insurance	2:3 ✺
13.12.25	Bendel Insurance - Enugu Rangers	1:1 ✺
08.12.25	Katsina United - Bendel Insurance	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Bendel Insurance - Wikki Tourists	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
30.08.25	Bendel Insurance - Shooting Stars	1:1
08.02.25	Shooting Stars - Bendel Insurance	1:0
02.10.24	Bendel Insurance - Shooting Stars	1:0
29.02.24	Shooting Stars - Bendel Insurance	1:0
07.10.23	Bendel Insurance - Shooting Stars	2:0
12.02.23	Shooting Stars - Bendel Insurance	2:2

Shooting Stars - Bendel Insurance: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide