Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Cremonese		Benevento

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.35	3.05	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3	3.2
	2.3	3.28	3.47
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.26	3.22	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.51)	3.14 ↑ (3.12)	3.29 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
41.4%

Draw
30%

Benevento
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

21.7%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cremonese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Cremonese - Benevento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Cremonese has the most likely position - 1 (12.67%), has project points - 63, has currently - 15, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (33%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

Benevento has the most likely position - 3 (7.79%), has project points - 58, has currently - 12, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (44%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Benevento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cremonese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
02.10.21	Cremonese - Ternana	2:0 ✺
26.09.21	Vicenza Virtus - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
22.09.21	Cremonese - Perugia	0:3 ✺
19.09.21	Parma - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
12.09.21	Cremonese - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWLWW
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
03.10.21	Benevento - Perugia	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Como - Benevento	1:1 ✺
21.09.21	Benevento - Cittadella	4:1 ✺
18.09.21	Ascoli - Benevento	0:2 ✺
10.09.21	Benevento - Lecce	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.06.20	Cremonese - Benevento	0:1
30.10.19	Benevento - Cremonese	2:0
10.03.19	Cremonese - Benevento	1:0
27.10.18	Benevento - Cremonese	2:1

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