The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cremonese 34.6%
Draw 30.1%
Benevento 35.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.3%
26.4%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
26.7%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cremonese's form might have worsened.
Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benevento's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cremonese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benevento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Cremonese - Benevento Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 15th and 5th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Recently, Cremonese has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Cremonese has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 0.7:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cremonese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 0.7:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Benevento
9
4
3
2
14:8
6
15
15
Cremonese
9
2
3
4
8:11
-3
9
Outrights of Italian Serie B for now
Benevento: 1.58% Cremonese: 1.51%
Last Results with these Odds
Cremonese - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.29%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.