Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Casarano		Benevento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.2	1.98
	3.8	3.35	1.88
	4.41	3.53	1.83
	1.22	4.62	25.00	Watch
	4.35	3.55	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.71)	3.65 ↑ (3.27)	6.5 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Casarano
40.7%

Draw
38%

Benevento
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

28.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

27.2%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casarano's performance.

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benevento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casarano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+27.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benevento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Casarano - Benevento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Chiorra N. (G) 77. Cajazzo I. 5. Celiento D. 10. Chirico C. 11. Ferrara V. 24. Gega E. 23. Logoluso G. 4. Lulic K. 17. Maiello R. 9. Malcore G. 20. Pinto G.	26. Vannucchi G. (G) 7. Carfora L. 20. Ceresoli A. 11. Lamesta D. 8. Maita M. (C) 77. Pierozzi E. 4. Prisco A. 31. Ricci G. 23. Saio P. 9. Salvemini F. 14. Scognamillo S.
Substitutes
1. Bacchin F. (G) 26. Barone A. 35. Cerbone S. 80. Di Dio F. 19. Guastamacchia A. 29. Gyamfi B. 30. Malagnino D. 15. Milicevic M. 21. Millico V. 7. Palumbo F. 18. Perez L. 12. Pucci D. (G) 90. Zanaboni E.	. Borghini D. 19. Cantisani R. 99. Della Morte M. 10. Manconi J. 5. Mehic D. . Rillo F. 25. Romano R. 1. Russo D. (G) 3. Sena F. 12. Suppa M. (G) 38. Talia A. 37. Tsingaras A. 93. Tumminello M. 6. Viscardi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Maita M. 🟨,
32', Scognamillo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Carfora L. ↓, Manconi J. ↑,
48', Gega E. 🟨,
57', Lamesta D. ↓, Della Morte M. ↑,
59', Malcore G. ↓, Zanaboni E. ↑,
59', Gega E. ↓, Gyamfi B. ↑,
59', Pinto G. ↓, Di Dio F. ↑,
67', Ferrara V. ↓, Millico V. ↑,
69', Chiorra N. 🟨,
75', Maiello R. 🟨,
75', Cajazzo I. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Pierozzi E. (Own goal),
84', Maita M. ↓, Tumminello M. ↑,
84', Ricci G. ↓, Mehic D. ↑,
87', Logoluso G. 🟨,

Preview

Casarano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Benevento is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Benevento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Benevento could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
29.08.25	Atalanta U23 - Casarano	6:2 ✺
24.08.25	Casarano - Trapani	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Casarano - Altamura	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.25	Bari - Casarano	2:3 ✺
31.07.25	Frosinone - Casarano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 LTWWL
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
31.08.25	Benevento - Casertana	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Crotone - Benevento	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Benevento - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Ternana - Benevento	Canceled ✺
30.07.25	Latina - Benevento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWW?W

Upcoming Matches