Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League Women - Qualification - Final

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Benfica Campus (Seixal)

Referee: Grundbacher D. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Benfica TV
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play


	Benfica		Hammarby

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	4.6
	1.62	4	4.33
	1.68	4.05	4.29
	1.67	4.6	3.68	Watch
	1.53	4	4.5
	1.7	4.65	3.72
	1.65	4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.49)	4.19 ↓ (4.75)	4.2 ↓ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
56.2%

Draw
22%

Hammarby
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

19.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

18.1%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Benfica - Hammarby Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pauels L. (G) 19. Amado C. 15. Costa C. 80. Lais 5. Lund M. 23. Gasper A. 21. Pauleta (C) 8. Norton A. 22. Alidou d'Anjou M. 7. Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. 9. Raysla N.	1. Tamminen A. (G) 17. Lennartsson S. 18. Carlsson A. (C) 2. Nystrom E. 25. Andersson J. 7. Joramo E. 6. Miyagawa A. 20. Hasund V. 11. Wangerheim E. 41. Blakstad J. 19. Tandberg C.
Substitutes
14. Almeida L. 11. Brown J. 6. Cameirao B. 66. Costa R. (G) 25. Davidson C. 10. Faria A. 77. Guedes N. 12. Lima T. (G) 3. Silva J.	16. Amano S. 14. Andersson B. 29. Edrud M. (G) 8. Gibson E. 31. Holmberg S. 13. Huitzing R. 4. Sorbo T. 10. Vallotto S. 23. Westin E.
Coaches
Patao F.	Sjogren M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Blakstad J. ⚽, Hasund V. (A),
45+1', Raysla N. 🟨,
45+1', Tandberg C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Miyagawa A. ↓, Sorbo T. ↑,
61', Pauleta ↓, Faria A. ↑,
64', Blakstad J. 🟨,
71', Hasund V. ↓, Westin E. ↑,
75', Sorbo T. 🟨,
77', Alidou d'Anjou M. ↓, Davidson C. ↑,
90+4', Nystrom E. ↓, Andersson B. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 2, Tandberg C. ⚽, Joramo E. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Benfica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hammarby is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Benfica is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Benfica to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica Women
UEFA Champions League Women
18.09.24	Hammarby - Benfica	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
13.09.24	Estoril Praia - Benfica	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
04.09.24	Benfica - Nordsjælland	3:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
30.08.24	Benfica - Torreense	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Super Cup Women
23.08.24	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL
- Hammarby IF DFF
UEFA Champions League Women
18.09.24	Hammarby - Benfica	1:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
13.09.24	Brommapojkarna - Hammarby	0:5 ✺
08.09.24	Hammarby - Kristianstad	1:2 ✺
02.09.24	Djurgården - Hammarby	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Trelleborg - Hammarby	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
18.09.24	Hammarby - Benfica	1:2

Benfica - Hammarby: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide