The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica 66.2%
Draw 21.8%
Sporting Lisbon 12%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.6%
24.5%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.2%
23.5%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.
Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Benfica - Sporting Lisbon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pauels L. (G) 19. Amado C. 22. Gomes D. 31. Testen T. 5. Lund M. 14. Csiki A. 21. Pauleta (C) 13. Sousa Alves L. C. 10. Moller C. 9. Raysla N. 7. Brennskag-Dorsin F.
99. Coster C. (G) 23. Ramirez E. 41. Barron A. 6. Eaton-Collins G. (C) 16. Filipinha 39. Bravo A. 15. Cameirao B. 20. Armengol C. 52. Dias A. 9. Encarnacao T. 8. Grant R.
Substitutes
46. Bihina M. (G) 11. Borges A. 16. Clarinha 25. Davidson C. 4. Demehin O. 8. Norton A. 18. Sabastine F. 26. Shao Ziqin 23. Tristao C.
77. Abreu Rodrigues T. F. 10. Besugo N. 26. Cherry M. 42. Correia M. 28. Ferreira M. 7. Martins J. 11. Perez B. 13. Santiago C. 33. Wozniak J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Dias A. ⚽, Armengol C. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Raysla N. ⚽, Moller C. (A),
31', 2 - 1, Csiki A. ⚽, Moller C. (A),
41', 3 - 1, Raysla N. ⚽, Lund M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Pauleta ↓, Tristao C. ↑,
65', Bravo A. ↓, Perez B. ↑,
65', Armengol C. ↓, Besugo N. ↑,
71', Grant R. 🟨,
73', Encarnacao T. 🟨,
73', Raysla N. ↓, Davidson C. ↑,
76', Dias A. ↓, Santiago C. ↑,
76', Grant R. ↓, Correia M. ↑,
82', Sousa Alves L. C. ↓, Norton A. ↑,
82', Moller C. ↓, Sabastine F. ↑,
85', Encarnacao T. ↓, Martins J. ↑,
88', 4 - 1, Norton A. ⚽, Gomes D. (A),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd and 1st).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3.
Benfica has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Sporting have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Benfica has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Benfica is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Benfica in today's match, at odds of 1.51.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Benfica has recorded 13 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 42:23 (averaging 2.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Benfica against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 24:13 goals (averaging 2:1.1 per game).
Portugal
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Pauels L. (G) 
Amado C. 
Testen T. 
Lund M. 
Csiki A. 
Moller C. 
Raysla N. 
Coster C. (G) 
Ramirez E. 
Eaton-Collins G. (C) 
Bihina M. (G) 
Davidson C. 
Demehin O. 
Shao Ziqin 
Wozniak J. (G) 
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