Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 31

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Benidorm		Castellon B

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.7	3.2	2.4
	3.06	3.2	2.17
	2.96	3.28	2.25	Watch
	3.05	3.22	2.17
	2.85	3.5	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)	3.25 ↑ (3.24)	2.25 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benidorm
31.6%

Draw
28%

Castellon B
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

28.1%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benidorm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Castellon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benidorm than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Benidorm - Castellon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Ferrer M. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
24', 1 - 2, Ferrer M. ⚽,
37', 1 - 3, Font N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 1 - 4, Domingo J. ⚽,
69', 1 - 5, Domingo J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Benidorm is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Castellon B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castellon B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Benidorm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benidorm CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
13.04.25	Torrellano - Benidorm	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Benidorm - Atlético Saguntino	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Crevillente Deportivo - Benidorm	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Benidorm - Ontinyent 1931	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Levante B - Benidorm	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLTL
- CD Castellón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
12.04.25	Castellon B - Roda	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Villarreal C - Castellon B	2:2 ✺
28.03.25	Castellon B - Atzeneta	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Español de San Vicente - Castellon B	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Castellon B - Castellonense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
06.12.24	Castellon B - Benidorm	3:1

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