Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Castellon B		Castellonense

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.3
	2	3.2	3.45
	1.97	3.21	3.58
	1.97	3.31	3.58	Watch
	1.98	3.53	3.53
	2	3.2	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.32)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.48 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellon B
45.9%

Draw
27.9%

Castellonense
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

28.8%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellon B's performance.

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellon B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Castellon B - Castellonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Siscar C. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Salguero I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Castellon B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castellonense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castellonense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Castellon B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Castellon B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Castellon B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.03.25	Vall de Uxó - Castellon B	1:3 ✺
23.02.25	La Nucía - Castellon B	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Castellon B - Rayo Ibense	4:0 ✺
08.02.25	Soneja - Castellon B	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Castellon B - Utiel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLL
- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.03.25	Castellonense - Torrellano	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Atlético Saguntino - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Castellonense - Crevillente Deportivo	4:2 ✺
09.02.25	Castellonense - Levante B	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Benidorm - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.12.24	Castellonense - Castellon B	2:3
29.03.24	Castellonense - Castellon B	3:0
11.11.23	Castellon B - Castellonense	3:0

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