Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Villarreal C		Castellon B

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.75
	2.34	3.55	2.55
	2.33	3.71	2.57	Watch
	2.3	3.54	2.55
	2.34	3.55	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.48)	3.57 ↑ (3.34)	2.59 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal C
39.7%

Draw
25.4%

Castellon B
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

27.1%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.8%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Castellon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Villarreal C - Castellon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Ferrer M. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villarreal C won 2.

Recent matches Villarreal C is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castellon B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villarreal C could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Villarreal C won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.6:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal C won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Villarreal C - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.57%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
30.03.25	Torrellano - Villarreal C	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Villarreal C - Atlético Saguntino	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Crevillente Deportivo - Villarreal C	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Villarreal C - Ontinyent 1931	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Levante B - Villarreal C	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTTWL
- CD Castellón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
28.03.25	Castellon B - Atzeneta	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Español de San Vicente - Castellon B	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Castellon B - Castellonense	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Vall de Uxó - Castellon B	1:3 ✺
23.02.25	La Nucía - Castellon B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
24.11.24	Castellon B - Villarreal C	2:1
26.02.24	Castellon B - Villarreal C	2:2
07.10.23	Villarreal C - Castellon B	1:2
05.02.23	Castellon B - Villarreal C	1:2
02.10.22	Villarreal C - Castellon B	4:0
12.03.22	Castellon B - Villarreal C	1:1
07.11.21	Villarreal C - Castellon B	0:0

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