Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 24

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Benidorm		Roda

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.95	2.6
	2.59	2.87	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.31)	2.91 ↑ (2.85)	2.67 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benidorm
35.3%

Draw
30.9%

Roda
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

32%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

31.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benidorm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benidorm than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Benidorm - Roda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Agudo I. ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, Meseguer C. (Pen),
39', 1 - 2, Cabezas J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 1 - 3, El Jmili N. ⚽,
79', 2 - 3, Boyko Y. ⚽,
86', 3 - 3, Minano J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Benidorm is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Roda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Benidorm will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Benidorm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benidorm CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
23.02.25	Villarreal C - Benidorm	2:3 ✺
15.02.25	Benidorm - Atzeneta	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Español de San Vicente - Benidorm	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Benidorm - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Vall de Uxó - Benidorm	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 WWWLW
- CD Roda
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
23.02.25	Utiel - Roda	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Roda - Villarreal C	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Atzeneta - Roda	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Roda - Español de San Vicente	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Castellonense - Roda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
20.10.24	Roda - Benidorm	2:1

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