The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castellonense 55.4%
Draw 27.5%
Roda 17%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.8%
24%
15.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.9%
22.5%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellonense's form might have worsened.
Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Castellonense - Roda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Lidon G. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Garijo I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Roda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Castellonense has had a series of away games.
In this match, Castellonense is the obvious favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellonense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 1.2:0).
Including home matches between the teams, Castellonense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Watch
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