Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Villarreal C		Benidorm

	1	X	2
	1.74	3.55	4.1
	1.81	3.73	3.75
	1.75	3.8	3.94	Watch
	1.85	3.29	4.45
	1.74	3.55	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.44)	3.58 ↓ (4.4)	4.07 ↓ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal C
51.7%

Draw
25.7%

Benidorm
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

20.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.1%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal C's form might have worsened.

Benidorm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benidorm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal C, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benidorm than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benidorm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Villarreal C - Benidorm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 2 - 1, ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, ⚽,
74', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 15).

Recent matches Villarreal C is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Benidorm is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Benidorm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Villarreal C is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villarreal C won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.02.25	Roda - Villarreal C	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Utiel - Villarreal C	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Villarreal C - Atzeneta	4:0 ✺
25.01.25	Español de San Vicente - Villarreal C	0:3 ✺
19.01.25	Villarreal C - Castellonense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWWT
- Benidorm CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.02.25	Benidorm - Atzeneta	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Español de San Vicente - Benidorm	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Benidorm - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Vall de Uxó - Benidorm	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Benidorm - Patacona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
13.10.24	Benidorm - Villarreal C	2:4

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