Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 8

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Benjamín Aceval		Sportivo Carapeguá

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.3
	2.06	3.55	3.15
	1.95	3.92	3.31	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	1.91	3.58	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.15)	3.53 ↑ (3.1)	3.3 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamín Aceval
46.5%

Draw
25.9%

Sportivo Carapeguá
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamín Aceval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Sportivo Carapeguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamín Aceval than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Benjamín Aceval - Sportivo Carapeguá Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Benjamín Aceval (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Benjamín Aceval will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Vega F. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 0, Arguello O. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 10).

Benjamín Aceval is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carapeguá has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Benjamín Aceval could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Benjamin Aceval	27	12	6	9	42:35	7	42
7	Sp. Carapegua	27	11	6	10	32:39	-7	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Doctor Benjamín Aceval
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
15.05.26	12 de Junio - Benjamín Aceval	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Benjamín Aceval - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Deportivo Santaní - Benjamín Aceval	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Benjamín Aceval - Fernando de la Mora	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	3 de Noviembre - Benjamín Aceval	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWLT
- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
17.05.26	Paraguarí - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - 12 de Junio	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Encarnación - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:2 ✺
27.04.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Santaní	1:0 ✺
21.04.26	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTWW

Benjamín Aceval - Sportivo Carapeguá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide