Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 6

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Kingston Heath Soccer Complex (Melbourne)


	Bentleigh Greens		Green Gully

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.5	3.55	Watch
	1.85	3.87	4.2
	1.93	3.8	3.46	Watch
	1.83	3.25	3.9
	1.83	3.55	4.17	Watch
	2.16	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.31)	3.53 ↑ (3.41)	3.66 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bentleigh Greens
48.6%

Draw
26.2%

Green Gully
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

26%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bentleigh Greens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bentleigh Greens's performance.

Green Gully has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Green Gully might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bentleigh Greens than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bentleigh Greens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Green Gully could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Bentleigh Greens - Green Gully Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bentleigh Greens will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Green Gully will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bentleigh Greens: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bentleigh Greens (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Green Gully (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bentleigh Greens (votes: 1 - 50%). Green Gully (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,
76', 3 - 0, ⚽,
79', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bentleigh Greens won 2.

Bentleigh Greens has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Green Gully is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Bentleigh Greens has had a series of away games.

Bentleigh Greens will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bentleigh Greens won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:17. (average 2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bentleigh Greens won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:5. (average 2.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bentleigh Greens
Australian NPL Victoria
14.03.26	Altona Magic - Bentleigh Greens	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	South Melbourne - Bentleigh Greens	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Hume City - Bentleigh Greens	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Bentleigh Greens - Avondale	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Bentleigh Greens	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLLWT
- Green Gully SC
Australian NPL Victoria
13.03.26	Green Gully - South Melbourne	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Green Gully - Hume City	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Avondale - Green Gully	5:0 ✺
20.02.26	Green Gully - Caroline Springs George Cross	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Heidelberg United - Green Gully	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
02.06.23	Green Gully - Bentleigh Greens	3:1
03.03.23	Bentleigh Greens - Green Gully	0:2
26.08.22	Green Gully - Bentleigh Greens	2:0
01.07.22	Green Gully - Bentleigh Greens	0:4
01.04.22	Bentleigh Greens - Green Gully	3:0
30.07.21	Green Gully - Bentleigh Greens	0:2
01.05.21	Bentleigh Greens - Green Gully	3:2

Bentleigh Greens - Green Gully: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide