Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 4

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: The Home of the Matildas (Melbourne)


	South Melbourne		Bentleigh Greens

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.6
	1.65	3.65	4.35	Watch
	1.7	3.92	4.55
	1.21	5.88	12.76	Watch
	1.65	3.5	4.6
	1.63	3.72	4.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.12)	4.05 ↑ (3.42)	5.74 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Melbourne
59.5%

Draw
23.8%

Bentleigh Greens
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

26.9%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Melbourne's performance.

Bentleigh Greens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bentleigh Greens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

South Melbourne - Bentleigh Greens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 4.

South Melbourne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

South Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, South Melbourne has had a series of home games.

In this match, South Melbourne is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, South Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Melbourne FC
OFC Pro League
04.03.26	South Melbourne - Solomon Kings	5:0 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
28.02.26	Altona Magic - South Melbourne	1:2 ✺
OFC Pro League
27.02.26	South Melbourne - South Island United	4:1 ✺
21.02.26	South Melbourne - Auckland FC 2	1:1 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
19.02.26	South Melbourne - Hume City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWTL
- Bentleigh Greens
Australian NPL Victoria
27.02.26	Hume City - Bentleigh Greens	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Bentleigh Greens - Avondale	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Bentleigh Greens	0:0 ✺
Australian Victoria Premier League
24.08.25	Bentleigh Greens - Northcote City	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	North Sunshine Eagles - Bentleigh Greens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
15.07.23	Bentleigh Greens - South Melbourne	0:2
15.04.23	South Melbourne - Bentleigh Greens	1:0
28.05.22	South Melbourne - Bentleigh Greens	3:2
25.02.22	Bentleigh Greens - South Melbourne	2:3
22.05.21	South Melbourne - Bentleigh Greens	1:1
26.05.19	South Melbourne - Bentleigh Greens	3:2
15.02.19	Bentleigh Greens - South Melbourne	3:1

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