Match Info

Date: 5 February 2022, Saturday


	Berço		Santa Marta de Penaguião

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.1
	1.55	3.65	4.7
	1.7	3.35	4.5
	1.76	3.5	4.73
	1.72	3.58	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.35)	3.52 ↓ (4.42)	4.49 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berço
53.9%

Draw
25.8%

Santa Marta de Penaguião
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

20.5%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

12.6%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berço has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Berço's form might have worsened.

Santa Marta de Penaguião has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Marta de Penaguião's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berço than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Berço that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta de Penaguião than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Berço is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Berço won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Berço FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.22	Paredes - Berço	1:0 ✺
23.01.22	Berço - Macedo de Cavaleiros	1:4 ✺
16.01.22	Vila Meã - Berço	2:1 ✺
08.01.22	Berço - Vila Real	2:1 ✺
19.12.21	São Martinho - Berço	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL
- FC Santa Marta de Penaguião
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.22	Santa Marta de Penaguião - Macedo de Cavaleiros	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Vila Real - Santa Marta de Penaguião	1:0 ✺
16.01.22	Santa Marta de Penaguião - Amarante	3:3 ✺
09.01.22	Mirandela - Santa Marta de Penaguião	4:1 ✺
19.12.21	Santa Marta de Penaguião - Paredes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.11.21	Santa Marta de Penaguião - Berço	2:1

Berço - Santa Marta de Penaguião: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide