Match Info

Date: 29 January 2022, Saturday


	Santa Marta de Penaguião		Macedo de Cavaleiros

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.8	2.6
	2.7	2.75	2.55
	2.65	2.9	2.55
	2.77	2.96	2.74
	2.55	3.28	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.75)	2.94 ↑ (2.82)	2.58 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Marta de Penaguião
34.1%

Draw
30.8%

Macedo de Cavaleiros
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

32.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

23.4%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Marta de Penaguião has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Macedo de Cavaleiros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta de Penaguião than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Marta de Penaguião that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macedo de Cavaleiros than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Macedo de Cavaleiros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Marta de Penaguião won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Santa Marta de Penaguião
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.01.22	Vila Real - Santa Marta de Penaguião	1:0 ✺
16.01.22	Santa Marta de Penaguião - Amarante	3:3 ✺
09.01.22	Mirandela - Santa Marta de Penaguião	4:1 ✺
19.12.21	Santa Marta de Penaguião - Paredes	0:1 ✺
12.12.21	Santa Marta de Penaguião - Vila Meã	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LTLLW
- CA Macedo de Cavaleiros
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.01.22	Berço - Macedo de Cavaleiros	1:4 ✺
16.01.22	Macedo de Cavaleiros - Vila Real	1:1 ✺
09.01.22	Amarante - Macedo de Cavaleiros	5:1 ✺
19.12.21	Macedo de Cavaleiros - Mirandela	0:1 ✺
12.12.21	Macedo de Cavaleiros - Paredes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
31.10.21	Macedo de Cavaleiros - Santa Marta de Penaguião	0:1

Santa Marta de Penaguião - Macedo de Cavaleiros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide