Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday


	Vila Real		Santa Marta de Penaguião

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.35	3.9	6.75
	1.45	3.85	6.2
	1.49	3.89	7.34
	1.46	3.9	6.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.35)	3.89 ↓ (4.46)	6.63 ↓ (7.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Real
63%

Draw
23.3%

Santa Marta de Penaguião
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

20.5%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

11.5%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Santa Marta de Penaguião has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (-24.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Real that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Marta de Penaguião than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Marta de Penaguião could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vila Real - Santa Marta de Penaguião Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Vila Real is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Marta de Penaguião is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vila Real could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vila Real is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vila Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.01.22	Macedo de Cavaleiros - Vila Real	1:1 ✺
08.01.22	Berço - Vila Real	2:1 ✺
19.12.21	Vila Real - Amarante	2:2 ✺
12.12.21	Vila Real - Mirandela	4:2 ✺
05.12.21	Paredes - Vila Real	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTWL
- FC Santa Marta de Penaguião
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.01.22	Santa Marta de Penaguião - Amarante	3:3 ✺
09.01.22	Mirandela - Santa Marta de Penaguião	4:1 ✺
19.12.21	Santa Marta de Penaguião - Paredes	0:1 ✺
12.12.21	Santa Marta de Penaguião - Vila Meã	3:1 ✺
05.12.21	São Martinho - Santa Marta de Penaguião	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.10.21	Santa Marta de Penaguião - Vila Real	0:1

Vila Real - Santa Marta de Penaguião: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide