The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Berazategui 60%
Draw 24.8%
Puerto Nuevo 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.8%
26%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.1%
26.6%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Berazategui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Puerto Nuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berazategui than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Berazategui - Puerto Nuevo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Ritacco E. ⚽,
45', Cuella L. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berazategui won 4.
Recent performances by Berazategui have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Puerto Nuevo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Berazategui is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Berazategui won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Berazategui won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).