Match Info

Primera C - Round 17

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday


	Puerto Nuevo		Victoriano Arenas

	1	X	2
	3.20	2.70	2.25
	3.1	2.72	2.38
	2.96	2.62	2.33
	3.51	2.58	2.37	Watch
	3.40	2.65	2.20
	3.07	2.79	2.4
	3.25	2.70	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.8)	2.68 ↓ (2.9)	2.31 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puerto Nuevo
27.9%

Draw
33.4%

Victoriano Arenas
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

31%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

31.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Victoriano Arenas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoriano Arenas than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Puerto Nuevo - Victoriano Arenas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Ritacco E. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Martinez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 2 - 1, Rivarola R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 2.

Recent performances by Puerto Nuevo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Victoriano Arenas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Puerto Nuevo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Victoriano Arenas - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Puerto Nuevo
Argentinian Primera C
14.06.26	Puerto Nuevo - Centro Español	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Puerto Nuevo	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Puerto Nuevo	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Puerto Nuevo - Central Ballester	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWTWT
- Victoriano Arenas
Argentinian Primera C
13.06.26	Leandro N. Alem - Victoriano Arenas	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Victoriano Arenas - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Victoriano Arenas	1:1 ✺
25.05.26	Victoriano Arenas - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Victoriano Arenas - Cañuelas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
22.02.26	Victoriano Arenas - Puerto Nuevo	0:1
06.07.24	Victoriano Arenas - Puerto Nuevo	1:0
04.02.24	Puerto Nuevo - Victoriano Arenas	1:0
14.07.23	Victoriano Arenas - Puerto Nuevo	0:0
10.03.23	Puerto Nuevo - Victoriano Arenas	0:1
18.09.22	Victoriano Arenas - Puerto Nuevo	0:0
15.05.22	Puerto Nuevo - Victoriano Arenas	0:1

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