Match Info

Primera C - Round 14

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Puerto Nuevo		Mercedes

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.68	2.45
	3.21	2.61	2.4
	3.29	2.54	2.53	Watch
	3.1	2.5	2.45
	3.22	2.64	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.8)	2.59 ↓ (2.8)	2.45 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puerto Nuevo
28.5%

Draw
34.7%

Mercedes
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

32.2%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

31.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Pineda M. H. ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Mercedes - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Puerto Nuevo
Argentinian Primera C
23.05.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Puerto Nuevo	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Puerto Nuevo - Central Ballester	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Lugano - Puerto Nuevo	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Puerto Nuevo - Leandro N. Alem	1:4 ✺
26.04.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Puerto Nuevo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLLT
- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
23.05.26	Mercedes - Leandro N. Alem	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Deportivo Español - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Mercedes	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Mercedes - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Sacachispas - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
24.08.25	Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo	1:1
11.05.25	Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes	1:2
20.10.24	Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes	2:2
21.05.24	Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo	1:0

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