Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 26Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday
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Berceo |
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Villegas |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.85 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
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1.85 |
4.21 |
3.32 |
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2.53 |
2.31 |
3.93 |
 Watch |
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1.8 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
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1.9 |
3.69 |
3.69 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.71) |
3.44 ↓
(3.65) |
3.61 ↓
(4.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Berceo
47% | Draw
27.1% | Villegas
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Berceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Berceo's form might have worsened.Villegas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berceo than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Berceo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (-4.7%)Berceo - Villegas Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).In recent matches, Berceo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Villegas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Berceo is a strong favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Berceo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Berceo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 12 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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