Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	San Marcial		Berceo

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.98	2.72
	2.49	3.12	2.75
	2.47	3.13	2.76
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.42	3.05	2.69
	2.4	3.25	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.45)	3.07 (3.07)	2.72 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marcial
37%

Draw
29.6%

Berceo
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

31.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for San Marcial have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Berceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berceo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

San Marcial - Berceo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcial won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Berceo	5	4	0	1	14:5	9	12
9	San Marcial	5	1	3	1	4:4	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACD San Marcial
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
01.02.26	UD Logroñés Promesas - San Marcial	5:0 ✺
25.01.26	San Marcial - Oyonesa	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Pradejón - San Marcial	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Anguiano - San Marcial	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	San Marcial - Haro Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 LLTWW
- CD Berceo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
01.02.26	Berceo - La Calzada	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Varea - Berceo	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Berceo - Peña Balsamaiso	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Berceo - Autol	5:0 ✺
03.01.26	Yagüe - Berceo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
28.09.25	Berceo - San Marcial	2:3

San Marcial - Berceo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide