Match Info

Date: 23 September 2020, Wednesday


	Frej		Karlslund

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	4.75
	1.57	4	4.5
	1.55	4.35	4.5
	1.53	4.1	4.7
	1.55	4.48	4.77
	1.6	4	4.75
	1.56	4.25	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.92)	4.2 ↑ (3.75)	4.67 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frej
58.8%

Draw
21.7%

Karlslund
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

24%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

17%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frej's performance.

Karlslund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karlslund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frej than the current prediction. (-25.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frej that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlslund than the current prediction. (+21.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlslund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Frej - Karlslund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Division 1 to Norra (Promotion to Play Offs)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Frej is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Frej won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Frej
Swedish Division 1 Norra
19.09.20	Örebro Syrianska - Frej	1:0 ✺
12.09.20	Frej - Vasalund	1:4 ✺
02.09.20	Luleå - Frej	2:3 ✺
29.08.20	Frej - Karlstad	1:2 ✺
23.08.20	Team TG - Frej	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW
- Karlslunds IF HFK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
19.09.20	Nyköping - Karlslund	1:1 ✺
12.09.20	Karlstad - Karlslund	1:2 ✺
06.09.20	Karlslund - Brommapojkarna	0:1 ✺
02.09.20	Karlslund - Nyköping	1:0 ✺
29.08.20	Karlslund - Sollentuna	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
17.06.20	Karlslund - Frej	1:4

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