The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bergantiños 51.2%
Draw 26.6%
Coruxo 22.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
28.6%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
27.4%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bergantiños's performance.
Coruxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coruxo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bergantiños that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coruxo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bergantiños - Coruxo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bergantiños won 1.
Bergantiños has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Coruxo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Coruxo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bergantiños is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Bergantiños has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:9 (averaging 0.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bergantiños against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.2:0.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Bergantinos
5
4
1
0
12:5
7
13
12
Coruxo FC
5
1
2
2
6:7
-1
5
Last Results with these Odds
Coruxo - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.6%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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