Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Bergantiños		Gran Peña

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.07	3.13	3.3
	2.46	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.03)	3.11 (3.11)	3.02 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
40.9%

Draw
29.1%

Gran Peña
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

29.8%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Bergantiños is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gran Peña in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bergantiños could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bergantiños will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bergantiños won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
03.02.24	Rápido de Bouzas - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Bergantiños - Viveiro	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	Bergantiños - Atlético Arteixo	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Somozas - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Bergantiños - Alondras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTTT
- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
04.02.24	Gran Peña - Arosa	3:0 ✺
21.01.24	Betanzos - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Gran Peña - Silva SD	3:2 ✺
07.01.24	Estradense - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Gran Peña - Polvorín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.09.23	Gran Peña - Bergantiños	3:2

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