Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG


	Bergantiños		Rayo Cantabria

	1	X	2
	2	3.05	3.45
	2.02	2.99	4.1
	1.99	3.12	3.79	Watch
	2.06	3.15	3.37
	2	2.85	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.04)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	3.78 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
45.5%

Draw
30.2%

Rayo Cantabria
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Rayo Cantabria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Bergantiños - Rayo Cantabria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Hevia K. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Mascaro P. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Argos A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 1 - 3, Diaz D. (Penalty Awarded),
63', 2 - 3, Fito ⚽,
75', 2 - 4, Mascaro P. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 4, Koke ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Bergantiños has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rayo Cantabria has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bergantiños may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bergantiños might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bergantiños won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bergantiños won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bergantinos	5	4	1	0	12:5	7	13
18	Rayo Cantabria	5	0	1	4	3:11	-8	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.02.26	Atlético Astorga - Bergantiños	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Langreo - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Numancia - Bergantiños	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Bergantiños - Real Ávila	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLT
- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.02.26	Rayo Cantabria - Sámano	7:0 ✺
01.02.26	Marino de Luanco - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Rayo Cantabria - Langreo	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
11.01.26	Rayo Cantabria - Numancia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.25	Rayo Cantabria - Bergantiños	1:2
04.05.25	Rayo Cantabria - Bergantiños	1:2
22.12.24	Bergantiños - Rayo Cantabria	3:3
05.03.23	Rayo Cantabria - Bergantiños	3:1
15.10.22	Bergantiños - Rayo Cantabria	0:1

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