Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.15
	1.78	3.43	4.27	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.76	3.25	4.49
	1.78	3.4	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.8)	3.3 ↑ (3.26)	4.27 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
51.2%

Draw
27.6%

Bergantiños
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

29%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Numancia - Bergantiños Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Fito ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Oliveira I. ⚽,
21', 2 - 1, Jony ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Numancia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bergantiños is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Numancia is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bergantinos	5	4	1	0	12:5	7	13

Last Results with these Odds

Numancia - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.35%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.01.26	Rayo Cantabria - Numancia	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Numancia - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Numancia	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Numancia - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	UD Ourense - Numancia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLW
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.01.26	Bergantiños - Real Ávila	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sarriana - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Bergantiños - Sámano	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Lealtad - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Bergantiños - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.09.25	Bergantiños - Numancia	3:1
02.02.25	Numancia - Bergantiños	1:0
21.09.24	Bergantiños - Numancia	1:1

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