Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Rayo Cantabria		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3.05	3	2.2
	3.19	3.16	2.19	Watch
	3.04	3.25	2.31
	3.2	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.71)	3.1 ↑ (2.9)	2.24 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Cantabria
29.4%

Draw
29.6%

Numancia
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.2%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

26.3%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Cantabria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Cantabria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rayo Cantabria - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Rayo Cantabria has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Numancia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Numancia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rayo Cantabria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Rayo Cantabria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Rayo Cantabria	5	0	1	4	3:11	-8	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Real Ávila - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
21.12.25	Rayo Cantabria - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Valladolid B - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Rayo Cantabria - Salamanca	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sámano - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTTTT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Numancia - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Numancia	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Numancia - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	UD Ourense - Numancia	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Numancia - Mallorca	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.09.25	Numancia - Rayo Cantabria	2:1
06.04.25	Rayo Cantabria - Numancia	2:1
24.11.24	Numancia - Rayo Cantabria	1:0

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