Match Info

Date: 12 October 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Pesch		Borussia Freialdenhoven

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Pesch
36.4%

Draw
24.5%

Borussia Freialdenhoven
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

21.7%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

21.6%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pesch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Borussia Freialdenhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pesch than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Freialdenhoven than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga West).

Recent matches Pesch is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Freialdenhoven is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pesch won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Pesch won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Pesch
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
09.10.22	Frechen - Pesch	2:1 ✺
25.09.22	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Pesch	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Pesch - Siegburger	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Hennef 05 - Pesch	2:0 ✺
04.09.22	Pesch - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWTLW
- SC Borussia Freialdenhoven 1912
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
09.10.22	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Blau-Weiß Königsdorf	4:0 ✺
25.09.22	Siegburger - Borussia Freialdenhoven	0:2 ✺
18.09.22	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	5:2 ✺
11.09.22	Glesch-Paffendorf - Borussia Freialdenhoven	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Fortuna Köln II	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWL

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
01.05.22	Pesch - Borussia Freialdenhoven	3:3
17.10.21	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Pesch	0:1
27.09.20	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Pesch	3:2
22.09.19	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Pesch	3:2

Pesch - Borussia Freialdenhoven